Compounding investing wisdom...
by Jon
It’s time for another quarterly reading update. It feels like I quit more books than I read over the last 3 months. For some reason, it was unusually hard to find books that held my interest beyond the first chapter. So I turned to a couple of classics to get back on track. Anyways, onto the books.
Here’s what I’ve been reading the past three months: Continue Reading…
by Jon
Global markets looked rejuvenated in the first half of 2019. Gains were seen practically across the board.
In the U.S., the S&P 500 shook off 2018’s 20% peak to trough decline to reach new highs. But it was foreign markets that topped the list.
Of course, for investors, you had to be in the market to earn those gains. And I doubt many expected market returns of this level in a mere six months. It just shows that timing is hard for a reason.
Here are a few observations before getting to the results: Continue Reading…
by Jon
Fred Schwed’s classic Where are the Customers’ Yachts? delivers simple financial truths with a side a satire. He presents the unvarnished view of Wall Street as he saw it:
…thousands of erring humans, of varying degrees of good will, solemnly engaged in the business of predicting the unpredictable.
The book is filled with more great lines about timeless lessons on investing, speculating, and Wall Street.
I thought I’d share a few of my favorites: Continue Reading…
by Jon
Transformative innovation creates an explosion of new businesses followed by a surge of extinctions. Picking the winners is hard.
Warren Buffett tried to teach this lesson to a group of business leaders in 1999. To say it was well received would be an understatement.
None of the new Dot-com royalty cared to listen to an old man, out of touch with the new reality, saying most of their companies were doomed to failure. To them, no price was too high to pay for their good idea. It was a twisted view born out of the excesses in rising stock prices.
In the end, Buffett was right. But at the time, all he had was an argument built around common sense, facts, and history. Here’s how he relayed it in a speech at the Sun Valley Conference in July 1999: Continue Reading…
by Jon
We can point out the errors to be avoided much more successfully than we can lay out a course of positive action.
G.C. Selden wrote that line in 1912. It fits Munger’s idea of inversion: figure out the best ways to lose money, then avoid doing those things. It’s a common-sense way to improve returns.
I came across this idea twice this week (it happens every week, really) from century-old sources. Selden covered the usual suspects — over-optimism, enthusiasm, stubbornness, fear, anger, greed — before summarizing his book on investor psychology. Continue Reading…
by Jon
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator originally began as a 12 article series for the Saturday Evening Post. Edwin Lefevre wrote the series over 12 months starting in 1922.
But when the first edition of the book was published, the first article was left out. The book begins with the eighth paragraph of the second article — “I went to work when I was a kid out of grammar school…”
At least, the version I read started that way (can’t speak for other editions). So I assumed that’s how the series started too. Until I dug it up and read it.
Lefevre sets the stage for the book in the first article. He starts with a great line: “The market was so weak that you could see customers counting their dead hopes.”
The narrator goes to visit an old friend at a brokerage firm. While there, stocks start crashing. The narrator overhears his friend blame it all on Livingston. He must be raiding the market.
But the narrator didn’t believe him, so he sets out to ask Livingston himself. An introduction is made. A meeting is set.
And the first of many conversations begin with a rant by Livingston, a lesson on the perils of trying to get rich quick and expecting a better return than the market will offer. Here’s how the conversation went: Continue Reading…