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  • The Timeless Art of Investing from 1888

    April 25, 2018

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    Jon

    Sometimes I dig up old investing books to avoid work pass the time. The latest was a copy of The Art of Investing by John Ferguson Hume. It has everything a 19th-century person needs to invest.

    It works for 21st-century advice too.

    Reading old books like this reaffirms two basic truths:

    1. Successful investing can be boiled down to simple, common sense ideas.
    2. The history of misbehavior goes back a very long time.

    Common sense and good behavior are key to investing success. That’s what you get for timeless advice. It’s never new, just rewritten…and too often ignored.

    Not much has changed in 130 years and counting.

    We’re still our own worst enemy. Investors make the same mistakes today as they did then. The only difference is the investments — fewer street-car bonds, more ETFs.

    So here’s some of that 19th-century advice for today’s investors. Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: Jeff Bezos on Scope

    April 20, 2018

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    Jon

    Amazon’s 2017 letter to shareholders was released a couple days ago. It’s a regular read for me the past few years.

    Jeff Bezos’s message hasn’t changed much since the first letter in 1997. His long-term process-oriented approach and willingness to fail is rare in the business world. It also translates well to investing.

    This year, Bezos shares a few things he’s learned about maintaining standards in the company. This one stood out: Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: Quarterly Reading

    April 13, 2018

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    Jon

    I try to read a decent number of books each year, slightly more than average. According to a Pew Research study from 2016, the average number of books read by Americans is 12 (the median number is 4). For men, the average is only 9.

    So my “slightly more than average” isn’t saying much. I wanted to step it up this year and read more books. The hard part is figuring out what to read.

    I save reading lists whenever I come across a decent one. Well, I found one this week, tweeted by Phil Ordway (credit where it’s due).

    If you’re looking for good suggestions outside of investing, this list is from an interesting source — the Defense Intelligence Agency. Here’s what the DIA Director has to say about reading: Continue Reading…


  • Ben Graham’s Lesson from the Computing-Tabulating-Recording Co.

    April 11, 2018

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    Jon

    Way before Amazon, Apple, and Google there was the Computing-Tabulating-Recording Co (CTR). CTR had the hippest new tech in town.

    The merging of four companies combined together into one in 1911, put time clocks, punch card equipment, and weighing scales (and a few other bits of new tech) all under one roof.

    A few years later, a budding young investor on Wall Street felt CTR was a worthy recommendation:

    In 1915, while just a beginner on Wall Street, I suggested that the firm recommend a low-price stock, the Computing-Tabulating-Recording Co. But my employer, a conservative fellow, pointed out that the company’s bonds weren’t covered by its assets. He said, ‘How can you touch such a speculative stock?’ And I returned to my desk a very chastised young man. Years later the public company changed its name to IBM.”

    CTR, now IBM, was the “Amazon” of its time. Graham recommended what became IBM when it was a measly $4 million market cap stock. Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: Riding the Credit Cycle

    March 30, 2018

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    Jon

    With rising interest rates, debt seems as good a candidate as any to cause the next downturn. How severe?

    It depends on the rate and severity of interest rate hikes and inflation. It could be drawn out or sharp. My Magic 8-Ball doesn’t have the answer and neither do I.

    None of this exists in a vacuum either. Interest rates, inflation, asset prices exist in a web of factors where changes in one have a multitude of possible effects on the others. And then you add humans to the mix. Spending a ton of energy trying to figure out what happens next seems like a wasted endeavor. But that’s just my take on it.

    Besides, this post has more to do with where we are in the credit cycle, so we better understand the risks.

    Howard Marks, in a 2001 memo, broke down the credit cycle like this: Continue Reading…


  • Howard Marks: The Perversity of Risk

    March 28, 2018

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    Jon

    The “Illuminated” edition of The Most Important Thing by Howard Marks is filled with great commentary from other investors throughout the book.

    Except, when you read it for the first time it can be a bit disruptive. It’s as if a random person is constantly adding their two cents while you’re in the middle of a conversation with the author.

    Where the comments really become useful is when you go through the book a second time. Having the likes of Joel Greenblatt, Seth Klarman and others offer insights helps to tie things together.

    And even Marks adds comments on his writing. Though, he tags his comments with themes.

    The most important of those themes he labels “the riskiest things.” The not so obvious way to sum it up is the riskiest things turn out to be things that seem the least risky. Continue Reading…


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