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  • Lessons from the 2023 Berkshire Letter

    February 28, 2024

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    Jon

    Berkshire Hathaway released its annual letter this past weekend. Warren Buffett began the letter with a nice tribute to Charlie Munger.

    The tribute may be the first lesson from the letter on humility and the importance of having a great partner, which I urge you to read (find a link at the end). The rest of the lesson from this year’s letter can be found below. Let’s dive in.

    Markets and Fundamentals Fluctuate

    I can’t remember a period since March 11, 1942 – the date of my first stock purchase – that I have not had a majority of my net worth in equities, U.S.-based equities. And so far, so good. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell below 100 on that fateful day in 1942 when I “pulled the trigger.” I was down about $5 by the time school was out. Soon, things turned around and now that index hovers around 38,000. America has been a terrific country for investors. All they have needed to do is sit quietly, listening to no one.

    It is more than silly, however, to make judgments about Berkshire’s investment value based on “earnings” that incorporate the capricious day-by-day and, yes, even year-by-year movements of the stock market. As Ben Graham taught me, “In the short run the market acts as a voting machine; in the long run it becomes a weighing machine.”

    What the market does over days, weeks, and months often diverges from how it performs over decades. The contrast becomes obvious when you zoom out. As Buffett explains, the solution is often best to ignore the short-term swings that cause investors to act against their long-term best interests. Continue Reading…


  • Weekend Reads – 2/23/24

    February 23, 2024

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    Jon

    Quote for the Week

    The key is to save as much as you can, as early as you can. And if you’re willing to put money into tax-deferred savings accounts, like a 401k or your own IRA, you can build up a sizable nest egg for your retirement. Savings is the key to creating wealth. If you do a mediocre job with lots of savings, it’s better than doing a very good job with a small amount of savings. — Peter Lynch (source)

    Continue Reading…


  • Investing Lessons from Shackleton’s Expeditions

    February 22, 2024

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    Jon

    Earnest Shackleton was a man seeking adventure. He was a member of the first expedition to reach the South Pole in 1901. The expedition failed but it was the farthest south anyone had gone before.

    Shackleton would return to Antarctica two more times in 1907 and 1914. His last attempt was to be the first to cross Antarctica on foot. The expedition failed before it began. Within two months of leaving South Georgia Island for Antarctica, his ship the Endurance, sat trapped in pack ice. It marked the start of a 20-month ordeal to survive.

    Shackleton is lauded for his leadership skills for good reason. The lessons stand out throughout his story. He raised his crew’s spirits, staved off doubt, and kept them focused throughout setbacks and adversity in the toughest of conditions.

    But Shackleton’s harrowing story offers some lessons for investing as well. Continue Reading…


  • Weekend Reads – 2/16/24

    February 16, 2024

    ·

    Jon

    Quote for the Week

    For most of us, over a two- to three- to five-year time frame, hitting the right mark in terms of the mix of offense versus defense in a portfolio is the most important single decision. If you get the offense versus the defense right, it doesn’t matter really what you pick, what stocks you bought, or whether you did stocks versus bonds or whether you did U.S. versus foreign or whether you did small-cap versus large- or growth versus value. If you get it wrong as far as calibrating your portfolio between being defensive and more aggressive, all that other stuff isn’t going to save you. But if you get it right, you will be heading in the right direction. — Howard Marks (source)

    Continue Reading…


  • The Endurance: Shackleton’s Legendary Antarctic Expedition by Caroline Alexander

    February 14, 2024

    ·

    The Endurance book coverBuy the Book: Print

    Sir Earnest Shackleton’s expedition to be the first to cross Antarctica in 1914 turned into a 20-month ordeal trapped in an ice pack, their ship crushed, and the desperate attempt to save themselves as the pack broke up. It’s a story of endurance and survival.

    The Notes

    Continue Reading…


  • Weekend Reads – 2/9/24

    February 9, 2024

    ·

    Jon

    Quote for the Week

    Behavioral advantages arise out of the manifest tendencies of large numbers of people to react in predictable ways to certain kinds of situations. So we know that people are risk averse. We know that their coefficient of loss is about two to one – which means that they feel the pain of losing a dollar twice as intensely as they feel the pleasure of gaining a dollar.

    People overweight the most recent information. They overreact to dramatic information, or dramatic circumstances. They tend to have what’s called outcome bias, which is they judge things on their outcome, and not on their process. So a lot of these behavioral elements are things that you can actually identify and exploit to your advantage if you are aware of them – and aware also that no matter how much you’re aware of them, you’re not immune to them yourself. You really have to have a sense of discipline and patience, and understanding in that. — Bill Miller (source)

    Continue Reading…


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