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  • The Reminder of Mr. Market

    October 26, 2016

    ·

    Jon

    Buffett Quote on Mr. MarketAnytime volatility picks up or the market makes a big move higher or lower, investors should remember that the market sets prices based off of the collective wisdom and stupidity from millions of decisions.

    But as is often the case, many investors rely heavily on the direction of prices to decide how they should act (eventually, leading them to look for “expert” opinions or forecasts to confirm their actions).

    When price direction alone dictates your actions, then it’s a good time to remind yourself that stocks are not pieces of paper, but pieces of a business. As Graham’s parable of Mr. Market likes to point out, the price being offered on any given day doesn’t always reflect the real value of the business. Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: Going Forward

    October 21, 2016

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    Jon

    Everyone wants to know what they can make. “What type of returns can we expect going forward?” gets asked a lot. What follows is a explanation of how cheap or expensive the market is and some educated guess on expected returns over the next several years.

    So you end up getting something like this: Continue Reading…


  • Steven Crist on Why Investing is Like Horse Racing

    October 19, 2016

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    Jon

    People often confuse investing and gambling but the parallels actually run deep. The confusion lies in comparing most forms of gambling – slot machines, roulette, lotteries – where the house sets the odds with those where the players set the odds. The house sets the odds in its favor. The house – not you – is guaranteed to win the longer you play.

    Unlike most forms of gambling, horse racing odds are set by the betting public. The odds change based on where the money flows. In that context, understanding horse racing might offer some insights into investing, which is where this post is heading. Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: Higher Standards

    October 14, 2016

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    Jon

    One thing Howard Marks does well is take the prevailing market view and flip it on its head. You can see it in a couple interviews he did in late September. Both interviews are brief and there is some overlap in topics, so I’m just going to pull out a few highlights.

    Here’s his response to a question about how low yields and high multiples make this market extremely risky: Continue Reading…


  • Philip Fisher Explains His Growth Philosophy

    October 12, 2016

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    Jon

    Philip Fisher quote on long term investing
    Philip Fisher was a growth investor before growth investing was a thing. He shared his philosophy based around his 15 points in the best seller Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits.

    In 1987, he sat down for a rare interview for Forbes. Most of the interview centered around his investing philosophy, which I’ll cover below. Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: History

    October 7, 2016

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    Jon

    History and math. Those were my favorite subjects growing up. Still are, mostly. The math I do is very basic compared what I learned. History hasn’t changed. There’s something about the past – where we came from and how we got here – that is always intriguing.

    I came across this the other day in The Snowball: Continue Reading…


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