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  • Klarman on Finding Opportunities

    September 14, 2016

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    Jon

    Not too long ago I wrote about a Baron’s interview with Seth Klarman in 1991. I dug up the article while searching through the digital stacks via the local library. A good chunk of the article covers specific investments at the time and I previously covered the part on his investment strategy.

    I wanted to highlight a couple other topics discussed in it because it relates to his process for finding opportunities, which I briefly covered before here and here. (His views didn’t change much from ’91 to ’10.) Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: Omission

    September 9, 2016

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    Jon

    I wanted to mention one more piece from the Buffett lecture that I thought was important but didn’t want to cram more info into the post.

    In it, Buffett was directly asked about dealing with failure and here’s what he said: Continue Reading…


  • Buffett on Circle of Competence and Reading

    September 7, 2016

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    Jon

    Warren Buffett has repeatedly explained his process – in a general sort of way – for decades. That gets most of the attention because people want to know the secret sauce so to speak. But it’s really only part of the reason why he’s been so successful.

    I dug up an older lecture and Q&A Buffett did in 1994 at the University of Nebraska. If you’ve read other Q&A’s most of it will sound familiar. The same questions get asked over and over and he answers almost verbatim.

    But one of the questions stood out – “What do you do all day?” – because his answer doesn’t get covered enough. Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: Moving Average

    September 2, 2016

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    Jon

    Valuation models, like the CAPE ratio, are great for informing investors where the market stands. The models are meant to show how over or undervalued the market is in relation to its historical average. And if you believe that markets revert to a mean, then at some point any excess valuation will swing back to the norm.

    Some people see valuation models as a timing tool except none actually say when. Two questions that rarely get asked are how reliable is mean reversion and how relevant is the historical average? Continue Reading…


  • Buffett’s Method of Success

    August 30, 2016

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    Jon

    Buffett regularly makes the difficult, sound very easy. His knack for simplifying things, in a way a mass audience can understand, often gives the false impression that investing is easy.

    “Simple, but not easy” best describes it.

    Still, his simple messages get misinterpreted often. It leads some people to believe you can do it too without much effort. Others seem to think Buffett has a super secret formula that always spits out winners and he just refuses to share it. Continue Reading…


  • Happy Hour: Multiple Choice

    August 26, 2016

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    Jon

    Sometimes we don’t make the obvious choice or the one that makes the most sense or even the favorite.

    A scientist ran a study where participants were given a choice between two candy bars. Of course, they picked their favorite. But when the number of choices increased, they were less likely to do so. Continue Reading…


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