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  • The Teledyne Buyback Effect

    September 24, 2021

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    Jon

    Henry Singleton was one of the best capital allocators and Teledyne was his masterpiece. Stock buybacks were a big part of its success.

    Singleton started Teledyne in 1960 but its story really begins in 1965. That’s the year its stock jumped from $15 to $65.

    Singleton took advantage of an enthusiastic market and went on a shopping spree. Over the next five years, he had acquired 130 companies using Teledyne stock trading between 40x to 70x earnings. The shares outstanding quadrupled from 1965 to 1970 (mostly through acquisitions via stock, but also a 3% stock dividend — a dividend paid in shares rather than cash — paid on four of those years).

    Then the 1970s bear market hit. Teledyne stock tanked. Its P/E dropped below 10.

    An outsider only looking at the stock price would see a horrendous picture. An investment in Teledyne in 1966 would rise 235% by 1968, then tumble to a 40% net loss by 1974. It was a devastating round trip for anyone who hung on. Continue Reading…


  • Estate Planning Study Guide

    September 22, 2021

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    Contains the notes on the Estate Planning study book material for the CFP Board Exam. Topics cover the many ways to effectively and efficiently transfer wealth regarding probate and around the gift and estate taxes.

    The Notes

    Continue Reading…


  • Wise Words on Risk Management

    September 17, 2021

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    Jon

    The art of long-term investing is about surviving the short run. It’s risk management 101.

    This is a friendly reminder that every investment brings the possibility of gain or loss. But when the market’s rising, and everything is great, it’s easy to become complacent and focus less on the downside.

    Every investment has a downside, even if you can’t see it. Random things happen. Being wrong is possible. Markets are always changing, and with it, the riskiness of your portfolio.

    Prudent risk management starts with the obvious question: what can go wrong? What’s the downside? Now is a good time as any to reacquaint yourself with it.

    Because when the market’s rising, and things are going well, it’s the perfect time to test the survivability of your portfolio and make any needed adjustments. Risk management only works if you prepare in advance.

    Don’t just take it from me: Continue Reading…


  • Retirement Planning Study Guide

    September 15, 2021

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    Contains the notes on the Retirement Planning study book material for the CFP Board Exam. It covers the numerous qualified and non-qualified retirement plan options and additional employee benefits.

    The Notes

    Continue Reading…


  • Income Tax Planning Study Guide

    September 8, 2021

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    Contains the notes on the Investment Planning study book material for the CFP Board Exam. It wades through the absurd complexity of the U.S. tax code as it relates to individuals and entities.

    The Notes

    Continue Reading…


  • Charlie Munger’s Tendencies of Human Misjudgment

    September 1, 2021

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    Jon

    Charlie Munger has spent a lifetime attempting to avoid stupid mistakes. He’s given a number of speeches on his experience over the years, that he ultimately compiled into one called: The Psychology of Human Misjudgment.

    Munger noticed patterns of irrational behavior that led to repeated mistakes, so he set out to finds ways to understand psychology in order to avoid the mistakes himself:

    I was greatly helped in my quest by two turns of mind. First, I had long looked for insight by inversion in the intense manner counseled by the great algebraist, Jacobi: “Invert, always invert.” I sought good judgment mostly by collecting instances of bad judgment, then pondering ways to avoid such outcomes. Second, I became so avid a collector of instances of bad judgment that I paid no attention to boundaries between professional territories. After all, why should I search for some tiny, unimportant, hard-to-find new stupidity in my own field when some large, important, easy-to-find stupidity was just over the fence in the other fellow’s professional territory? Besides, I could already see that real-world problems didn’t neatly lie within territorial boundaries. They jumped right across.

    Through inversion, stupidity, and bad judgment, he came up 25 tendencies we’re all susceptible to whether we know it or not. What follows is a brief breakdown of those tendencies (though, I recommend reading the entire speech). Continue Reading…


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