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  • Lessons in Bull Market Grift from the 1901 Promotion Boom

    June 24, 2022

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    Jon

    Stock markets have a long history of fraud and grift during bull markets. Grifters find it easier to entice would-be “suckers” when everyone seems to be making a fortune but them. One such example took place at the start of the 1900s that has played out in some form or another in every bull market since.

    Stock promotion was legal at the turn of the century. Promoters pumped new companies in order to raise money in exchange for a cut of the total take. In some cases, their cut was upwards of 40%. A promoter could walk away with over $100,000, on a $1,000,000 stock offering, after paying promotional fees for advertising and articles pumping the stock.

    The 1901 stock promotion boom was the byproduct of a speculative bull market. Two years early a merger mania began as Wall Street power players combined railroad and industrial companies into regional and national monopolies. Speculators saw an opportunity to get rich quickly in the millions of new shares created by the mergers.

    The mania briefly sputtered with the North Pacific panic before going wild in a stock promotion boom in 1901. Over the course of two years, hundreds of new companies were created and promoted to unwitting investors. Continue Reading…


  • Lessons from Century Club Companies by Vicki TenHaken

    June 22, 2022

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    Lessons from Century Club Companies book coverBuy the Book: Print | eBook

    Lessons From Century Club Companies breaks down 10 years of research to find the unique characteristics behind companies that have survived and thrived for over a century.

    The Notes

    Continue Reading…


  • What Century-Old Companies Can Teach Investors

    June 17, 2022

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    Jon

    The average life of a company is shrinking. Today, the average age of an S&P 500 company is 15 years. That compares to 67 years in the 1920s. Yet, outliers exist that defy that trend.

    One such group of outliers is known as the Henokiens. To be a Henokien, a company must be founded over 200 years ago and still controlled by the founding family. There are 48 member companies in the group.

    What does it take for a company to survive over 200 years? Lessons from Century Club Companies answers that question. The author, Vicki TenHaken, studied companies over 100 years old to see what characteristics set them apart from all the rest.

    Interestingly, her results carry some crossover lessons to investing. It starts with having a mission statement.

    Live the Mission Statement

    Long-term success is the byproduct of a company successfully working its mission. Every century-old company has a written mission statement that led the company to where it is today. Continue Reading…


  • High Returns from Low Risk by Pim Van Vliet

    June 15, 2022

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    High Returns from Low Risk book coverBuy the Book: Print | eBook

    The book looks at the persistence of the low-volatility anomaly throughout market history. The author explains why the anomaly exists and how to construct a portfolio of low-volatility stocks to take advantage of it.

    The Notes

    Continue Reading…


  • There’s Always Something to Do by Christopher Risso-Gill

    June 8, 2022

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    There's Always Something to Do book coverBuy the Book: Print | eBook

    There’s Always Something to Do tells the story of Peter Cundill’s life and career. A chance reading of SuperMoney led him to Ben Graham’s deep value approach, which he adapted for global stock markets.

    The Notes

    Continue Reading…


  • Daniel Kahneman: Loss Tolerance

    June 3, 2022

    ·

    Jon

    What’s your risk tolerance? How do you indentify it? Both are important questions that investors spend little time thinking about at first. They’re also abstract questions thanks to the convoluted definitions of risk.

    Daniel Kahneman suggests a better way to frame the question. Rather than risk tolerance, you should ask: what’s your loss tolerance? It makes you think about protecting your money. How much loss can you endure before you reach the point where emotions push you to change your mind and change your portfolio?

    That breaking point is important because it’s usually where mistakes are made like buying high and selling low. Changing your portfolio every time emotions surface leads to worse results.

    By reframing the question, Kahneman forces you to think in terms of actual dollars. Lost dollars can be quickly equated to missed goals and dreams — less money for college, a canceled vacation, a postponed retirement — that make you nauseous.

    So how much of your net worth do you want to keep safe versus how much are you willing to lose outright? The goal is to find that breaking point so you can build a portfolio that minimizes regret, limits how often you change your portfolio, and keeps you invested for the long run.

    Kahneman went on to explain the importance of minimizing regret and how it translates to portfolio construction. Here’s what he said: Continue Reading…


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