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  • T. Rowe Price’s Recipe for Growth Stocks

    April 9, 2021

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    Jon

    “Growth stock” investing was a new idea that arose in the 1930s. Thomas Rowe Price was one of the founders of the theory. He publicly make the case for it in 1939.

    Price recognized early in his career that a few companies had an advantage of stable long-term growth. They could plow earnings back into the company and grow for decades. Those were the companies he wanted to own.

    He explained in a series of articles appropriately called “Picking ‘Growth’ Stocks.” He defined it like this:

    “Growth stocks” can be defined as shares in business enterprises which have demonstrated favorable underlying long-term growth in earnings and which, after careful research study, give indications of continued secular growth in the future.

    A decade later he refined his definition in a follow-up article: Continue Reading…


  • The Follies of Speculation in 1875

    April 7, 2021

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    Jon

    Misbehavior often gets in the way of investing profits. To say it’s been a longstanding problem is an understatement. Arthur Crump pointed it out in 1875 and little has changed since.

    Crump is an Englishman who wrote about speculating in stock markets based on his observations of London markets. His book, The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation, warned about the common mistakes “haphazard operators” made, and lost money on, almost 150 years ago.

    And he doesn’t hold back. You may even recognize a few: Continue Reading…


  • Quarterly Reading – Spring ’21

    April 2, 2021

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    Jon

    It’s a short list this quarter. Here’s what I’ve been reading the past three months: Continue Reading…


  • 2021 Q1: Sector Breakdown

    March 31, 2021

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    Jon

    A year ago this month, the market experienced one of the fastest crashes ever. It was followed by one of the fastest recoveries but the recovery wasn’t uniform.

    2020 saw technology, consumer discretionary, communication services, and materials sectors as the biggest winners. Financials, real estate, and energy struggled.

    That appears to have changed…so far. That should come as no surprise either. With markets, old trends die. New trends are formed. Last year’s winners can become this year’s losers. The death of value can be resurrected.

    The only certainty with markets is change. Investors expecting things to stay the same are sure to be disappointed.

    A couple of quick points before diving into the results: Continue Reading…


  • The Trouble with Timing the Bull

    March 26, 2021

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    Jon

    Market timing is fraught with problems. Specifically, it doesn’t work.

    Ben Graham addressed the risk of adding a timing component to your strategy in Security Analysis. He points out two important problems that lead to poor timing in a bull market.

    One is a problem that comes with selling. The other is failing to know when not to buy.

    Here’s what he had to say: Continue Reading…


  • Enough: True Measure of Money, Business, and Life by John Bogle

    March 24, 2021

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    EnoughBuy the Book: Print | eBook

    Bogle’s Enough draws from a lifetime of wisdom to reflect on the excesses of a financial system that led to the 2008 crisis and reminds readers of the benefits of a less greedy, long-term, client-first system (society) where success in life is defined by more than just money.

    The Notes

    Continue Reading…


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