The stock market itself seems to be mainly driven by fashions and fads. However, when you look at individual stocks, it’s a different story, because individual stocks are much more diverse, and some of them can be predicted to perform well over the long run.
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After a stock market decline, people may perceive more risk than before when, in fact, the decline may have taken some of the risk out of the market.
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It’s not as simple as having timid people and bold people. Some people will be risk averse in one circumstance and not so averse in another. It’s oversimplifying human nature to think we can put people into those two categories as the only psychological measure we use.
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The problem with the markets is that they are just like people, and individual investors can easily get confused.
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People are guided largely by intuition, and it’s sometimes shocking the way they think.
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