If you go to the stock market because you want excitement, then sooner or later you will lose.
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Contrary to their oft-articulated goal of outperforming the market averages, investment managers are not beating the market: The market is beating them.
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I think economists as rule…take for granted they know a lot of things. If they really knew so much, they would have all the money and we would have none.
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Be skeptical of the popular reasoning behind any spectacular move in the stock market — but don’t be too sure this reasoning is wrong.
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We must remember that delusions swing between extremes, like pendulums. Delusions of grandeur and unending wealth give place to delusions of unending gloom. One is as unreal as the other.
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Whether stocks rise or fall is determined by innumerable forces and elements, by economic conditions, the actions of governments, the state of international affairs, the emotions of people — even the vagaries of the weather.
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People invest in stocks for two opposite reasons — in hope and confidence in the future of an enterprise or in fear that the value of their capital will be lost through inflation.
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The stock market registers the judgments of multitudes of buyers and sellers about the many factors which affect business — what business is like today; what it will be like in the future.
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The impression has built up that the stock market is the cause of booms and busts. Actually, it is the thermometer — not the fever.
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No one, not even the most experienced trader, economist or businessman can predict with certainty the course of the stock market.
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When it comes to statements about the future in the economic realm, none of us have knowledge in the scientific sense of the term. What we have is opinions and surmises — let us hope, based upon adequate reflections and study.
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I believe that the trend of stock equities will continue in the future as it has in the past — and that is irregularly upward, with some emphasis upon the adverb irregularly.
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What the corporate tax actually works out as is a dilution of the stock equities. It is the equivalent of a payment of a stock dividend which goes to the government instead of to the stockholders.
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I think that the future of equity investment, when it is made at a reasonable price, is a promising one, and one that deserves the confidence of those interested in the investment field.
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The broad pattern of market action in the past is the best guide to the future — but it is not an infallible guide.
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Economic events rarely unfold in the way stock-market people forecast them.
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Allied to the general pattern of market movements is the general pattern of speculative thinking.
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Experience shows that when really cheap issues are scarce the general market is high; but we do not present this as an infallible principle.
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It is a great mistake to refine the analysis of a single year’s showing to the last possible penny, in order to build from that some substantial idea of the value of the stock; because it cannot be found in the results for any given year no matter how accurately those results were stated.
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The stock market has a 100% record, in the last 50 years, of predicting upturns in the economy. It’s never been wrong. It’s less than 50-50 on a downturn.
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You’re going to make mistakes. If you’re terrific in this business you’re right six times out of 10.
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I want a company that’s simple. They don’t have to make seven brilliant decisions every six months to keep going.
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I’ve always found that if you find 10 stocks you really like and buy three, you always pick the wrong three. So I just buy all 10.
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