Based on a series of articles written for Barron’s in 1927, Philip Carret writes an extensive introduction to the stock market, while laying the groundwork for market cycles, economic cycles, value investing, biases, and behavior.
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Based on a series of articles written for Barron’s in 1927, Philip Carret writes an extensive introduction to the stock market, while laying the groundwork for market cycles, economic cycles, value investing, biases, and behavior.
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Fred C. Kelly figured out that behavior plays a bigger part in investor success than most thought. That he did so in 1930, says a lot about how little human nature changes. Kelly proposed that by acting counter — contrarian — to the general tendencies of most market participants, one avoids most typical mistakes, and succeeds at investing. Studying average investor mistakes presents a guide to future dangers.
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James Montier writes about the many ways investors are their own worst enemies. The book concentrates on the many repeated behavioral mistakes investors inflict on themselves that negatively impact returns in the process.
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B. H. Liddell Hart wrote the book as a summary of the history of warfare. Rather than writing the lessons we learn from history, he inverts the message to the many lessons we fail to learn from history.
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It’s time for another quarterly reading update (these updates are mostly for my own accountability, but if you find something that interests you, great). Several projects ate into reading time, which meant fewer books over the past three months. The plan is to get back into it in 2019.
Here’s what I’ve been reading over the past quarter: Continue Reading…
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One of the best ways to learn about investing is through second-hand experience by learning what not to do from the mistakes of others. It’s the most cost-effective, resource-abundant way to learn since history is filled with other people’s mistakes. The other option is first-hand. It’s expensive but stickier — less easily forgotten.
There’s one downside though. Knowing won’t make you immune from repeating it. All the information in the world is useless when emotions drive decisions.
Take Stan Druckenmiller.
He’s arguably one of the best investors ever. He averaged 30% per year over a 30-year career, with no losing year. And he once turned a $1 million donation to a school, invested over five years, into a $35.6 million windfall.
A return like that is not easy. It requires taking extremely concentrated bets with a lot of leverage and most importantly an openmindedness to change your mind when you’re wrong. Continue Reading…