Where are we now? It’s a question often asked about the stock market cycle that leaves everyone wanting. That’s because the nature of markets makes precise answers impossible.
So instead, most responses come in the form of analogies. Baseball innings are a popular one. “What inning is the market in today?” “The seventh inning, hope that helps.”
A pendulum swinging back and forth is a better example. Howard Marks uses it in both of his books to describe the market cycle. Edwin Lefevre even used it back in 1901.
Robert Kirby, an investment adviser who conceived of the coffee can portfolio, gave one of the better descriptions of the market pendulum during a talk in April 1999: Continue Reading…

Buy the Book: