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  • The Lost Intro to Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

    October 7, 2020

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    Jon

    Reminiscences of a Stock Operator originally began as a twelve article series for the Saturday Evening Post. Edwin Lefevre wrote the series over 12 months starting in 1922.

    But when the first edition of the book was published, the first article was left out. The book begins with the eighth paragraph of the second article — “I went to work when I was a kid out of grammar school…” At least, the version I read began that way (can’t speak for other editions).

    Lefevre sets the stage for the book in the first article. He begins with a great line:

    The market was so weak that you could see customers counting their dead hopes.

    The narrator goes to visit an old friend at a brokerage firm. While there, stocks start crashing. The narrator overhears his friend blame it all on Larry Livingston. He must be raiding the market.

    But the narrator didn’t believe him, so he sets out to ask Livingston himself. An introduction is made. A meeting is set.

    The first of many conversations begin with a rant by Livingston. He offers a lesson on the perils of trying to get rich quick and expecting a better return than the market will offer. Here’s how the conversation went: Continue Reading…


  • Quarterly Reading – Fall ’20

    October 2, 2020

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    Jon

    Here’s what I’ve been reading the past three months: Continue Reading…


  • Why the Worst Companies Lost Big and How to Avoid Them

    September 30, 2020

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    Jon

    There are a lot of ways to fail at investing. Owning the worst-performing companies is a big one. The solution is a matter of avoidance. Is there a way to find the worst performers in advance?

    Henrik Bessimbinder, while researching the greatest companies, looked at the worst-performing companies by decades. He broke the worst performers into two categories: by returns and total shareholder wealth lost.

    The difference between the two categories is a matter of total dollars versus the percentage lost. A huge company can lose billions of dollars in shareholder wealth with a tiny percentage loss while a tiny company can have a huge percentage loss only losing millions.

    The top 200 companies in each category had a few characteristics that stood out during their worst-performing decade: Continue Reading…


  • The Pendulum Swings

    September 25, 2020

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    Jon

    The first big market boom of the 1900s happened right at its start. 1901 would become “the bubble” everyone referred to until 1929 replaced it.

    To say the bull market had seeped into the public mind would be an understatement. Speculation was rampant.

    The year before, the market bottomed in late September, then took off on a 34% run to end the year. The market picked up right where it left off in 1901.

    Seven days into the new year, a record 2,127,503 shares were reportedly traded. It was the first 2 million share day on the NYSE (to put that number into perspective, only 85,807 shares traded on August 22, 1900).

    U.S. prosperity drove the boom initially but the first merger wave to hit the stock market pushed it to heights never seen before. One of the biggest was J.P. Morgan’s orchestrated buyout of Carnegie’s empire by his newly created U.S. Steel. It’s newly issued shares played right into the boom. Continue Reading…


  • What Makes Great Companies Great

    September 23, 2020

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    Jon

    Investing in wonderful companies popularized by Warren Buffett is becoming more and more common. Successfully doing it is less common because they’re still hard to find without hindsight.

    Henrik Bessembinder followed up his research on the greatest companies to see what characteristics made them great. He looked at the best 200 companies in two buckets — by greatest wealth creation and highest excess return by decade.

    The difference between the two is like comparing a small $1 million market cap company that grows to $100 million versus a larger $10 billion company that grows to $100 billion. The small company produces a significantly higher return while the other creates more total wealth for shareholders.

    The top 200 companies in each bucket had a few characteristics that stood out during their best decade of performance: Continue Reading…


  • What Has and Hasn’t Changed in Investing

    September 16, 2020

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    Jon

    Ben Graham spent a lifetime teaching about the errors of our ways. He started his career in 1914. 33 years later he would find himself lecturing students on the problems in security analysis.

    In his final lecture, he looked back at the entirety of his career, up to that point, to highlight the many improvements.

    I would like to make some final observations, relating to a long period of time, as to what has happened to the conduct of business in Wall Street.

    If you can throw your mind, as I can, as far back as 1914, you would be struck by some extraordinary differences in Wall Street then and today. In a great number of things, the improvement has been tremendous. The ethics of Wall Street are very much better. The sources of information are much greater, and the information itself is much more dependable. There have been many advances in the art of security analysis. In all those respects we are very far ahead of the past.

    All of these things have continued to improve since the mid-1940s. And a couple of things can be added to Graham’s list as well, like lower trading costs and easier access to markets. Continue Reading…


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